Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 0.043534 0.050805 0.058799 0.068225 0.079017 0.090972 0.105200
2025-06-01 0.032529 0.041991 0.053361 0.067965 0.086154 0.107983 0.136081
2025-06-08 0.024487 0.034594 0.047734 0.065923 0.090276 0.121563 0.164573
2025-06-15 0.020624 0.031524 0.046696 0.069084 0.100950 0.144281 0.207171
2025-06-22 0.016848 0.027706 0.043799 0.068976 0.106842 0.161010 0.243498
2025-06-29 0.013588 0.023939 0.040211 0.067079 0.109585 0.173258 0.274508
2025-07-06 0.011285 0.021195 0.037640 0.066169 0.113415 0.187175 0.309077
2025-07-13 0.010244 0.020350 0.037935 0.069772 0.124607 0.213286 0.364708
2025-07-20 0.009198 0.019285 0.037645 0.072258 0.134117 0.237498 0.419460
2025-07-27 0.007761 0.017202 0.035200 0.070558 0.136151 0.249455 0.455017
2025-08-03 0.006697 0.015646 0.033468 0.069857 0.139745 0.264211 0.496400
2025-08-10 0.005646 0.013912 0.031107 0.067593 0.140114 0.273203 0.528340
2025-08-17 0.004807 0.012497 0.029211 0.066058 0.141824 0.285033 0.566989
2025-08-24 0.004247 0.011610 0.028283 0.066361 0.147144 0.304016 0.620467
2025-08-31 0.003620 0.010429 0.026518 0.064635 0.148137 0.314831 0.659513
2025-09-07 0.003406 0.010251 0.026998 0.067882 0.159812 0.347475 0.743329
2025-09-14 0.003019 0.009530 0.026087 0.067846 0.164440 0.366435 0.801748
2025-09-21 0.002590 0.008600 0.024507 0.066013 0.164875 0.376814 0.843712
2025-09-28 0.002267 0.007901 0.023392 0.065133 0.167329 0.391562 0.895770
2025-10-05 0.002174 0.007873 0.024032 0.068693 0.180443 0.430160 1.000765
2025-10-12 0.002040 0.007693 0.024230 0.071149 0.191183 0.464449 1.099131
2025-10-19 0.001773 0.007013 0.022922 0.069475 0.191721 0.476145 1.149424
2025-10-26 0.001572 0.006507 0.022029 0.068785 0.194602 0.493336 1.213100